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Comment of the arrow of time

Dear Colleagues,

I have a brief response to Bill Phillip's question about why a smooth big bang is surprising. Some years ago Roger Penrose tried to quantify the degree of specialness associated with a smooth early universe by comparing the observed entropy of the universe with the maximum possible entropy. The latter he assumed would be associated with the most clumpy state, namely, gigantic black holes. Using the Hawking-Bekenstein area formula for the entropy of a black hole, Penrose found that the observed universe has an entropy thirty powers of ten less than the maximum permissible value. If one interprets entropy as a measure of expectedness (low-entropy states are surprising and rare, high entropy states numerous and unremarkable) then the probability of the observed smooth initial state is infinitesimal.

A simpler way of arriving at the same conclusion is that a smooth, uniformally expanding state implies that almost all the available energy of expansion is concentrated in a single dilatory mode, rather than being distributed evenly among the myriad degrees of freedom available to cosmic dynamics. This arrangements is therefore highly ordered, and has very low entropy.

Either way, smooth means surprising!

Regards,

Paul Davies

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Published   2002.02.12
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